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The performance of the dutch safety management system frailty tool to predict the risk of readmission or mortality in older hospitalised cardiac patients

BMC Geriatrics May 12, 2021

Jepma P, Verweij L, Tijssen A, et al. - This study was attempted to calculate the performance of the Dutch Safety Management System (DSMS-tool) alone and combined with other predictors in predicting hospital readmission or mortality within 6 months in acutely hospitalized older cardiac patients. Researchers conducted an individual patient data meta-analysis on 529 acutely hospitalized cardiac patients ≥ 70 years from four prospective cohorts. In this study, shrunk c-statistics, calibration plots, regression slopes, and Hosmer-Lemeshow p-values were used to evaluate predictive performance in terms of discrimination and calibration. The findings revealed that in hospitalized older cardiac patients, DSMS-tool alone has limited capacity to accurately estimate the risk of readmission or mortality. It was shown that adding disease-specific risk factor information to the DSMS-tool resulted in a moderately performing model. The combination of geriatric and disease-specific predictors should be further explored to optimize the early identification of older hospitalized cardiac patients at high risk.

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