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Mapping the global prevalence, incidence, and mortality of Plasmodium falciparum, 2000–17: A spatial and temporal modelling study

The Lancet Jun 24, 2019

Weiss DJ, et al. - Through clinical incidence models for sub-Saharan Africa, which depend on cross-sectional survey data, researchers presented the first global, high-resolution map of P falciparum malaria mortality and the first global prevalence and incidence maps since 2010, intended to identify spatially heterogeneous patterns of malaria risk in order to efficiently target high burden areas. A rapid decline in the burden of incidence and mortality between 2005 and 2017 by 27.9% and 42.5% respectively, were noted, even with population increasing in endemic regions. A contemporary resource for global policy and malaria control planning, program implementation, and monitoring initiatives were provided by high-resolution maps of P falciparum. The fragility of hard-won gains against malaria can be seen where incidence trends plateaued in the last 5 years, but progress in reducing global malaria burden was still achieved. Also, in areas where burden remained high throughout the study period, efforts to exclude malaria should be strengthened.

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