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Mapping the global prevalence, incidence, and mortality of Plasmodium falciparum, 2000–17: A spatial and temporal modelling study

The Lancet Jul 31, 2019

Weiss DJ, Lucas TCD, Nguyen M, et al. - The Plasmodium falciparum parasite rate and clinical incidence models for sub-Saharan Africa was renewed and refined by experts in order to present the first global, high-resolution map of the mortality of Plasmodium falciparum and the first map of its global prevalence and incidence since 2010. To create the malaria estimates for the Global Burden of Disease 2017 study, the outcomes were mixed with those for Plasmodium vivax (published separately). Showing that incidence and mortality have declined by 27.9% and 42.5%, respectively, the P falciparum estimates span the period 2000–2017 and show the rapid drop in burden between 2005 and 2017. P falciparum cases reduced between 2005 and 2017, from 232.3 million to 193.9 million and deaths dipped from 925,800 to 618,700, regardless of the growing population in endemic regions. Nearly 90.1% of people within sub-Saharan Africa remained in endemic areas, accounting for 79.4% of cases and 87.6% of deaths in 2017, regardless of the drops in burden. For notifying global policy and malaria control planning, program implementation, and monitoring initiatives, high-resolution maps of P falciparum gave a contemporary resource.

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